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Showing posts with label Report. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Report. Show all posts

30.10.12

PJ Investigation Fact-Finding Report 10-09-07


02-09 Outros Apensos 02 File 09 pages 01-11

SUBJECT: NUIPC 201/07.0GALGS: Disappearance of Madeleine McCann
1.0. This report is based on a time line (resulting from the depositions made to the Policia Judiciara and the 'Control Risk' by five elements of the G9, the manager of the clients support Service of Mark Warner's and by other witnesses, having a text been performed by the British analyst) and several Communications chronograms, both elaborated and sent by the Analysis Sector of the British Police that, within the police cooperation act, was in Portugal.
1.1. All the elements were analyzed and checked by this BCAI, where only one or another discrepancy was detected (between the 1st and 2nd statements of some elements of the G9)

OBJECTIVE:
2.1.Based on the traffic of SMS and phone calls, done and received, registered on the BTS (Vodafone, TMN and Optimus) that cover the area of Praia da Luz, produced by the identified mobile phones of the G9, since 07:30h of the 02/05/07 to the 24:00h of the 04/05/07, to check the testimonies and the relations between the users and others.

HISTORIC
3.1. On May, 28th , 2007, coming from the Uk, arrived at the Ocean Club on Praia da Luz ' Lagos, four British couples and the mother of one feminine element of those.
3.2. The travelling and the staying of the group was organized in the Uk through the Mark Warner's Agency, the same that on the previous year had organized a travel to Greece.
The returning should occur on May the 5th.
Every couple had children with ages below 4.

COMPOSITION OF THE GROUP:4.1. Gerald McCann + Kate Healy = Madeleine (4 year old) and the twins Sean and Amelie (2 year old)
Russell O'Brien + Jane Tanner = Ella (3 year old) and Evie (1 year old)
Mathew Oldfield + Rachael Mampilly = Grace (x)
David Payne + Fiona Payne + (Dianne Webster) = Scarlett (1 year old) and Lilly (3 year old)


INFORMATION
5.1. The Place:
The apartment of the McCann at the Ocean Club is situated on the ground floor, on the East side of the building and can be accessed:
5.2. Through the front door, the same where it is situated the window of Madeleine and the twin's bedroom (photos on page 12)
5.3. Through the two glass doors, in the living room and another in the bedroom of the couple, on the opposite side of the apartment, doors that lead to a veranda, that can be accessed by a step of stairs through a small gate, coming from the lateral street. NOTE: this last access was the one most used for being closer to the restaurant.
5.4. The living room door used to remain closed but not locked, in order to be opened from the exterior.

Routines:
6.1. In a general manner the days passed at the Ocean Club by this group of friends and their sons obeyed to the following routine:
6.2. The children had their breakfast with the parents;
6.3. Once the meal was finished, they were taken to the local mini-clubs where they developed the recreational activities according to their ages;
6.4. At lunch time they returned to the parents company, at the end of which they returned to the same clubs;
6.5. During the morning and on the afternoons after leaving the children at the Kid Clubs, the parents involved into several recreational activities, namely tennis, jogging, reading, etc.;
6.6. At around 18:00h the parents went to fetch the children;
6.7. Between 19:30/20:00h, after the bath and dinner, they put them to bed/sleep;
6.8. Except on the first day, this group of friends dined at the tapas, close to the pool of the Ocean Club, where they reserved a table for nine persons;
6.9. The dinner started at around 20:30h/21:00h and prolonged until 24:00h;
6.10. By the inexistence or lack of knowledge of the parents about a supervising service for children over the period of the dinner, they took turns on supervising going to the apartments every half an hour, approximately;
6.11. This supervising was developed either by the parents or by the other, in this last case, just passing by the windows of the rooms and listening if there were cries;

THE DEPOSITIONS/DECLARATIONS
7.1. On the night of May 3, at 20:30h, the McCann were the first to arrive at the 'Tapas' restaurant. The other elements of the group kept arriving until 21:00h.
7.2. At 21:00h Mathew went to see his daughter. He listened close to rooms of the rest of the children and everything was calm.
7.3. At 21:05H/21:10H Gerald went to check his children. He entered through the sliding door and found it strange that the children's bedroom door was slightly more opened than when they went out. But he assumed that Madeleine had gotten up and gone back to bed.
7.4. He saw that Madeleine and the twins were in their beds, quiet.
7.5. He went to the bathroom and got out through the sliding doors. On the street, close to the gate, he met Jez, known from the tennis, with whom he spoke for 3 to 5 minutes.
7.6. At that moment (21:15h) coming from the restaurant to check her children, Jane passed by them.
7.7. She says that at that moment she saw, up the street, on the perpendicular, at about 10 meters, a man crossing carrying a child (see map and photo pages 50/51).
7.8. The child was in pyjamas and without shoes, but she only found strange the fact that she wasn't covered.
7.9. Only later, after learning about the colours of the pyjamas, Jane concluded that the child she says she saw held by the man could be Madeleine.
7.10. She didn't notice if the shutters of Madeleine's bedroom window were up or down.
7.11. Neither Gerald nor Jez noticed Jane's passage, nor did they see the man carrying the child.
7.12. At 21:30h Mathew got out of the 'Tapas' to go check his children. He told Kate that he would control her children also.
7.13. He entered 5A by the living room sliding door.
7.14. He found that in Madeleine's room, where the twins were also staying, there was more light than normal, it seemed that the shutters were lifted.
7.15. He didn't take notice and just looked into the room through the semi opened door.
7.16. He says that he saw the twins in their cots and that everything was calm.
7.17. Because Madeleine's bed was standing to the closest wall he was unable to see her.
7.18. At 22:00 Kate went to the apartment.
7.19. She went through the sliding doors and immediately noticed that the door to the children's bedroom was totally opened, the window was opened, the shutters raised and the curtains opened to the sides.
7.20. The twins were sleeping in their cots but Madeleine had disappeared.

PJ Preliminary Analysis Report 28-05-07



02-08 Outros Apensos II May 2007 File 08 Pages 01-08
Report May 2007 Central Brigade Information Analysis

Development of the Investigation
Outros Apensos II - Analysis Report – 28
th May 2007 File 08


Analysis Report
1) Introduction
On 28 April 2007, coming from the UK there arrived at the Ocean Club in Praia da Luz - Lagos four English couples and the mother of one female member of them. All the couples were accompanied by children, with a maximum age of 4 years.



The Group comprised:
i - Gerald McCann + Kate Healy = Madeleine (4) and Sean and Amelie (twins) (2).

ii - Russel O'Brien + Jane Tanner = E**a (3) and E**e (1)
iii - Matthew Oldfield + Rachael Manpilly = G***e (1)
iv - David Payne + Fiona Payne + (Diane Webster) = Scarlett (1) and Lilly (3)

a) The journey and stay was booked and organised in the UK through Mark Warner, a company with which they already had prior contact, namely a trip to Greece in the previous year.
b) The return from Algarve to UK should have occurred on 5 May 2007.
c) Generally, days spent in the Ocean Club followed a certain routine.
d) The children took breakfast with the parents after which they went to mini clubs, in the area, where they participated in recreation activities suited with to their respective ages. They ate with their parents at lunch time and returned to kid club for the afternoon. About 18h00 the parents went to collect the children to return to the apartments. They gave them a bath and dinner and put them to bed around 19h30/20h00.
e) During the periods that the children were in the mini clubs, the parents indulged in various amusement activities, namely tennis, jogging, reading, etc.
f) Except for the first day, the Group of adults dined in the Tapas restaurant (situated next to the Ocean Club swimming pool) where a table was reserved for nine persons. These dinners started around 20h30/21h00, going on until about 24h00.
g) Given that there was no (or two parents had not been informed) system of monitoring children during the dinner time, the parents resolved to make their own checks of their children by going to the apartments approximately each half hour.
h) This check on the children was performed by their own parents, or, some times, by parents of other children who, when going to observe their children would also check on the others. However, in some cases, this was limited to passing next to the bedroom windows and listening for crying.
i) The McCann apartment is situated on the ground floor, at the eastern end of the building. It is accessible in two ways: - through the main door giving access on the same side as bedroom window of Madeleine and the twins (see photos on page 12); - on the opposite side through two (sliding) glass doors, one into the lounge and the other into the couple's bedroom. These give access to the veranda from which a stairway, through a small gate, gives access to the side street.
j) Because this latter access is most convenient, it being closest to the restaurant entrance, the lounge door stayed closed but not locked in a way that it could be opened from the outside, permitting there to be a gap in which to introduce a hand (i.e. the reporter says that the door would be ajar).


2) The Event
a) On the night of 3 May, at 20h30, the McCanns were the first to arrive at the 'Tapas'. The others were arriving up to about 21h00.

b) At 21h00 Matthew went to see his daughter. He said that he listened next to the bedrooms of the other children and all was quiet.
c) At 21h05/21h10 Gerald went to see his children. He entered by the sliding door. It was strange that the door from the lounge into the bedroom was a little more open than they had left it when they went out. But, he thought that Madeleine had got up and returned to bed. He saw that Madeleine and the twins were in their respective beds and quiet [peaceful/undisturbed]. He went to the WC and left by the sliding door. In the street, near to the gate, he met Jez, whom he knew from tennis, with whom he spoke for 3 to 5 minutes.
d) At this time (21h15), coming from the restaurant and going to see her children, Jane Tanner passed by them. She says that at that moment she saw walking on the road perpendicular [to the road on which she was walking], about 10 metres away, a man carrying a child in his arms (see diagram and photo on pages 50/51). The child was barefoot and [dressed] in pyjamas, but she thought only that it was strange [for the child] not to be covered. She did not notice if the external blinds of Madeleine's bedroom were down or raised.
e) Neither Gerald nor Jez noted the passage of Jane nor did they see the man with the child in his arms.
f) At 21h30 Matthew left the 'Tapas' to go to see his children. He said to Kate that he would check her children. He entered the 5A lounge by the sliding door. He thought that the bedroom of Madeleine and the twins was brighter than usual, it appearing to him that the external blinds could have been lifted.. However, he paid no attention to it and limited himself to looking into the bedroom through the door that was open enough [for him to see]. He says that he saw the twins were in the cots and that all was quiet. As Madeleine's bed was against the nearside wall he did not see if she was in her bed.
g) At 22h00 Kate went to her apartment. She entered by the sliding door and, at once, noticed that the bedroom door was fully open, the window was open, the external blinds raised and the curtains pulled to the sides. The twins were sleeping in the cots but Madeleine had disappeared.

h) Only later, after knowing the colour of the pyjamas, did Jane come to the conclusion that the child she says she had seen in the arms of the man could have been Madeleine.

2.1 Time Line of the Group (Annexe 2)
A time line was prepared, based on the statements of the Group members, trying to determine the time at which Madeleine disappeared.


2.1.1) Conclusion
a) From what was stated, and if the child carried in the arms of the man referred to by Jane Tanner was Madeleine, then the abductor (given the very limited time between Gerald leaving and the moment Jane says she saw him) was already inside the apartment when Gerald went there at 21h05/21h10, having exited immediately afterwards.

b) If it was not Madeleine, and Jane, later, unintentionally, had created that conviction, the disappearance could have occurred after [later]. Either between Gerald's exit and Matthew's entrance (21h30), or between his exit and Kate's arrival (22h00).c) From any manner [Anyway], everything leads one to believe that the author [of the time line] exercised control over the Group of 9.

3. Development of the Investigation
a) Not leaving out of the assessment two possibilities, however remote: - one, Madeleine walking out by herself, and to have gotten lost, and to be in an unknown place - the other, an attempted robbery (the individual, being interrupted by Gerald's entrance, and allowing that Madeleine had seen him, or something had gone awry, having determined to take her with him.
b) Now, according to all the work performed and all the clues collected, everything points to Madeleine having been abducted.
c) There having been no ransom demand, we believe the following motivations remain:
i - of a sexual nature - 'predator' and/or a paedophile network;
ii - human trafficking;
iii - childless person/couple or substitution for a missing child;
iv - revenge against Madeleine's parents, for professional or impassioned reasons, etc.

d) During the investigation certain clues were determined that, collectively, pointed to a suspect - Robert Murat. Because they were closed associated with him, the investigation focused, also, its attention on his friend/girlfriend - Michaela Walczuch and on a Russian individual, a computer expert - Sergey Malinka, with whom they were associated.


3.1 Time Line - the suspects (Annexe 3)
a) A time line was prepared, based on the statements of the arguido and close witnesses referred to above, for the geographic locations and timings.


3.1.1 Time line - Beginning of Robert Murat's participation as translator (Annexe 4)
a) Based on contradictory statements, a time line was prepared from the moment Robert Murat began his activity as 'translator'.
b) It is noted that only three members of the Group of 9, and only after him having been considered suspect, came forward to affirm that he was seen in the area of the apartment on the night of 3 - 4 May, a short time after the disappearance of Madeleine. The rest of the witnesses questioned about his participation [being in the area], namely members of the GNR, affirmed not having seen him, or that they saw him only on May 4.
c) But, generally, they classified his demeanour as being, not like someone who was interested solely in translations, but as having an attitude that exceeded that role, wanting to acquaint himself with the things discovered and 'to drive' [steer; direct] some investigation activities.

4. OBJECTIVE
Supported by the lists of phone calls, to compare the declarations made and to try the clarify the kind of relationship between the participants and/or others.


4.1 Chronogram (timing diagram) of communications (Annexes 5, 6 and 7)
Flow charts of phone calls (Annexes 8, 9 , 10 and 11)

a) The following list of mobile and fixed telephones were determined:

b) Robert Murat: mobile 919****41; fixed 282****16
c) Michaela Walczuch mobile 919****59 and 960****59; fixed 282****89
d) Sergey Malinka mobile 914****57; fixed 282****07
e) Lists of calls made and received were requested from the operators [phone service companies], along with SMS [records] showing the destination and originating phones, and the records from the cell masts activated.
f) Supported by these lists, along with our authority to read the mobile phone call lists, and the authority to read calendars, the respective communication timing diagrams were prepared.
g) In the timing diagrams (Annexes 5, 6 and 7) calls on days 2, 3 and 4 May were reviewed and analysed.
h) All phones were identified where possible, whether Portuguese, English or other nationality. Telephone lists from PT, TMN, VODAPHONE and OPTIMUS [the four service operators] were used. Collaboration from officers of the UK police was relied on to identify telephones of that country. Similarly, they correlated all the phone numbers in the inquiry and the calendars under review.

i) It was sought to compare and to correlate, whether through the flow charts of calls, or through the cell masts activated by the mobile phones, by place/time, the declarations made by each one of those seen. 
j) No discrepancies were found between the time line (statements of RM, MW and SM) and the timing diagram, either in terms of the time that calls were made or received, or in terms of masts activated. But there were omissions, due to forgetfulness or intent.
k) In this way, one realises, only for him, it is not proven, for determined periods of time, where Robert Murat was located, specifically in the period in which Madeleine disappeared.

4.2. Observation
a) There should be new inquiries made of Robert and Michaela in order to clarify the calls between them on 3 May from 20h15 to 20h25 (fixed), from 23h20 to 23h29 (mobile), from 23h55 to 23h37 (mobile), 23h40 to 23h47 (mobile) and from 23h53 to 24h01 (fixed).


b) And the call of 30 seconds from Robert to Sergey at 23h39 ' the only such call on those days.
c) In the flow charts (Annexes 8, 9, and 10) there were considered and analysed connections on days 1, 2, 3 and 4 May 2007, relating to each telephone.

d) In the flow chart (Annexe 11 - combination of call in Annexes 8, 9 and 10) there were considered and analysed connections on the days 1, 2, 3 and 4 May 2007, together with the target numbers.
i - In the period under review, calls by phone and SMS between RM and MW are demonstrated, ether by mobile or fixed service phones.
ii - No calls are recorded between MW and SM. Between RM and SM only one call is recorded.
iii - No common numbers are shared between SM and RM, nor between SM and MW.
iv - Only one common number was found between RM and MW  707960000  UZO (Call Centre)

5. Conclusion
The flow of calls analysed, from fixed and mobile phones, and the respective comparison with witness statements, found no evidence of significant discrepancy.

a) A close, ongoing relationship between RM and MW was noted.
b) There exists a relationship between RM and SM, but in the period looked at there was only a single call.
c) There were no telephone contacts common to the three people.
d) For the reasons presented, it is not possible, in this way, to better clarify the, possible, participation of any of them in the events under investigation.

Lisboa
28th May 2007

PJ Interim Analysis Report 30-09-07


Brigade Report re Intelligence Analysis September 2007

From the analysis of the timeline it is possible to conclude:

1.0. On 3rd May at about 18.00 (when she left the Kids club) until 22.00 when her mother gave the alert, nobody apart from her parents, Kate and Gerry, saw Madeleine. During the checks carried out, Matthew, at 21.00 only checked outside the apartment by the shutters and at 21.30 entered the apartment, but did not confirm whether Madeleine was there (unless David saw her between 18.30 and 19.00 at Gerry's request).

2.0. Discrepancies in the statements
A - During Gerry's first questioning (Folio 34) he said that at 21.05 when he went to his apartment to 'check' the children, he entered by the main door; during his second questioning (Folio 891) he changed this by saying he had entered through the patio doors.B - During Gerry's first questioning he said that Kate, at 22.00, when she went to the apartment, entered by the locked front door . When she entered she noticed the door to the children's bedroom was opened inwards, the window was open and the shutter was raised. (if this had happened, she would not have noticed this scene after entering. She would have noticed this before entering the apartment, as she would have passed the window of the children's bedroom).C - During his second questioning, Gerry said that Kate entered through the patio doors.D - During Kate's questioning she said that she entered through the patio doors.E - During Gerald's second questioning, he says that he was playing tennis on 3rd May between 18.00 and 19.00. At about 18.30 David arrived at the tennis courts and the went back to his apartment. Presuming that it was certain that David would return to play tennis, Gerald asked him to check whether all was well with the children and Kate.F - During his questioning (Folio 66) David Payne was not asked about this request, it is not known whether he was with Kate and the children between 18.30 and 19.00.G - During his questioning, Matthew (Folios 52 and 905) stated that at 21.00 when he 'checked' from the outside of the apartment, the shutter was closed. But when he entered the apartment at 21.30, he said there was more light than usual in the children's bedroom, that the curtains were closed and that it occurred to him that the shutter might be open (note how he did not find this circumstance strange, when it should be considered absolutely abnormal). Gerald himself, when Matthew returned to the restaurant and said everything was fine, stated that he thought the shutter was closed.
2.1. If the child being carried by the man referred to by Jane was Madeleine, then the ' eventual - abductor (given the tiny space of time between Gerry's exit from the apartment and the moment when Jane claims to have seen the man) would have to have been inside the apartment when Gerry went there at 21.05/21.10, and especially because Matthew, at 21.00 carried out an external check and guaranteed that the shutter of Madeleine's bedroom window was shut.
2.2. If it was not Madeleine and Jane, with hindsight, although unintentionally, created this conviction, the disappearance could have occurred after that time, between Gerry exit and Matthew's entrance at 21.30, or between the latter entrance and Kate's arrival at 22.00.
2.3. Moreover, because Gerald as well as Jez, who were talking close to the apartment and 25 metres away from the place where the man carrying the child would have passed and both stated not having seen Jane pass before them and neither did they see the man.
2.4. The brigade team made charts and analysed phone calls made by the T9 between 21-04-2007 and 06-05-2007.

3.0. Conclusions (regarding phone calls)
The analysis we undertook did not, in truth, reveal major dissonance or pertinent questions, except perhaps the existence of diverse numbers contacted (sometimes insistently) by some of the members of the group and the owner of those telephone lines ' presumably because they did not correspond to national telecommunications operators ' were not identified, knowledge of this information could eventually be useful.
3.1. Restricting this information to the McCann couple, once established that no communications that could be seen as suspicious were detected from the other members of the group, the following calls are notable:
A) Gerald (TM 4477********), the numbers:
- 4478******** from which 14 text messages were received on the eve of the disappearance 02-05-2007 and another 4 messages on 04-05-2007.
- 4479******** the only number to contact the girl's father during the afternoon of the disappearance (12.24).
- 4413******** to which Gerry made a long call (of more than 11 minutes) at 23.40 on 03-05-2007 and which he contacted again at 00.05, 00.13 and 00.21, receiving a return call of 2.28 minute at 00.27, which was the last contact registered between these 2 numbers.
B) Kate (TM 4479********), the numbers:
- 4479******** the only number to contact Madeleine's mother by SMS on the afternoon of 03-05-2007 at 12.31 and 12.34, the following communications being two short calls (6 and 29 seconds respectively) made by Gerry to his wife after the disappearance at 23.14 and 23.17.
- 4479******** ' for which there is a register of 20 messages between the number and Kate's mobile and also 5 calls during the early morning on 04-05-2007 at 03.07, 03.23, 03.28, 08.34 and 08.52 with a duration of 03, 3.04, 6.56, 1.01 and 1.15, the first and last 2 of these calls (the shortest) were made by Kate.
- 4415********,
- 4417********
- 4411******** for being numbers with which relatively long conversations were held in comparison to the others.


4.0. The Analyst letter dated 14-08-07 forms part of this report (pages …-...)
Subject: Group timeline after Madeleine's disappearance
Date:14-08-2007
Dear Sirs,4.1. This report contains a summary of the 'timeline' that shows the movements of the group after the disappearance of Madeleine McCann from apartment G5A in the Mark Warner resort in Praia da Luz on 3rd May 2007. It is centred on the McCann family and the group of friends who travelled with them on holiday to Portugal.
4.2. This 'timeline' was created based upon translations of statements made be elements of the group to the Portuguese police, from statements made in English to 'Control Risks' by five elements of the group and by Emma Knights, manager of client support services for Mark Warner, from various statements and questioning of Mark Warner staff made to the Portuguese and British police and from questioning carried out at that time.
4.3. At about 22.00 when Kate Healy returned to the apartment to check on the children, the rest of the group were at the Tapas Bar/Restaurant except for Jane Tanner, who was in her apartment G5D as, Evie, one of her children was unwell.
4.4. When Kate discovered that her daughter Madeleine was not in the apartment (G5A) she ran back to the Tapas Bar to alert the rest of the group.
Dianne Webster remained at the table whilst all the others rushed to the apartment. Gerry McCann and Kate Healy were the first to return to their apartment, where Kate had left the patio doors completely open and the twins were fast asleep in their beds.
4.5. Gerald searched the apartment and stated that the window of the children's bedroom was open and the shutter raised. He checked the shutter before continuing to search outside.
4.6. All the men from the group began to search the immediate area.
4.7. David Payne ran from the McCann's apartment towards the Millennium area. Then he turned in the direction of the church. He searched the rocky areas of the beach/coast and checked the stands and boats. He then returned to the Ocean Club reception, passing the Millennium area. David then checked the area around the walls together with Matthew Oldfield.
4.8. Russell O'Brien was in the McCann's apartment for a moment only, rushing out to search the perimeter of the apartment. Then he went to look for Madeleine with Matthew Oldfield. They went in the direction of the beach. He searched the perimeter of the tennis courts and the paths leading to the beach. Russell searched the gardens and all of the surrounding area. He searched the eastern part of the beach, zigzagging back along the roads to the McCann's apartment. All the time more people were joining in the search and Russell knew the police had been contacted.
Afterwards he searched the adjacent apartments to the east of Kate and Gerry along the Rua da Ramalhete and more apartments to the east. On some occasions David Payne was with him.
4.9. When Matthew saw that Madeleine was not in the apartment, he went to the 24 hours reception to ask them to telephone the police. Matthew spent most of the night searching the neighbouring areas for Madeleine without success. Matthew searched the road between the apartment and the Creche. He searched between the apartment and the Millennium restaurant, also along the beach and finally a cemetery as well as the road leading back to the apartment. Part of this search was carried out with David Payne and Russell O'Brien and part was carried out alone. Matthew talked to an Indian insurance salesman and saw Nathan, the director of the beach concession.
4.10. Fiona Payne was the only woman from the group to help in the searches. Fiona searched the periphery of the complex ' one search, which she made alone. When she returned she spent the rest of the night with Kate.
4.11. After waiting at the restaurant table for five minutes, Dianne Webster went to the McCann's apartment where she entered the children's bedroom and saw Kate with the twins. Kate insisted on the fact that the window and shutters were open when she saw the children, Dianne went outside to see if she could raise the shutter from the outside and found it to be impossible. Dianne stayed in the McCann's apartment for about 5 minutes and then returned to the restaurant to fetch her bag, the McCann's camera and the baby monitor. She then immediately returned to the McCann's apartment. Gerry and Kate were in the apartment as well as Fiona. Fiona asked Dianne to stay with Lily and Scarlet to check that they were ok. Dianne returned to the Payne apartment and stayed there for the rest of the night.
4.12. Rachel Mampilly went to see her own daughter before going to meet Jane in her apartment. When they talked Jane told her that when she had gone to check on the children she saw Gerry and Jez talking together as well as a man carrying a child. Jane told Rachel that she had not said anything at the time because nobody knew that Madeleine had gone missing and she had not seen the child's face.

5.0. Summary
It is difficult to confirm where all the elements were in the minutes/ hours after the discovery that Madeleine was missing. It appears that most of the women remained within or near the apartments, Fiona Payne left and searched around the complex, before returning to the McCann's apartment where she stayed with Kate. Then Emma Knights (client support director) searched the beach area and asked Kate what Madeleine had been wearing. Shortly afterwards Emma returned to the McCann's apartment and stayed with Kate.
5.2. The men's movements, however, are more difficult to pinpoint.a) Gerald was seen and spoken to by Neil Berry and Raj Malu. They heard him calling for Madeleine when they were sitting on Neil's balcony, not far from the McCann's apartment. They both went down to talk to Gerald and helped in the search.
b) Both David Payne and Matthew Oldfield were seen by Emma Knights when she was on her way to the beach, the search area to which she was assigned by Lyndsey Johnson (child care director and search coordinator).
c) At about 01.00 Matthew was with John Hill (resort manager) when they knocked on Jeremy Wilkins's door to ask if he had seen anything.
d) At about 23.30 a white fair haired man aged about 30, one of the friends of the McCann group was seen by Valerie Kerr and her family when he asked them if they had seen Madeleine. They were near to the chapel. Valerie and Laura returned to their apartment, changed clothes and went to help with the search.

6.0. Conclusion
In the confusion following the disappearance of Madeleine it would be possible that one of the men or Fiona Payne 'escaped' to join in the searches again later.

29.10.12

PJ Intelligence Analysis Report 05th February 2008


File pages 1-3004

Central Department of Criminal Investigation 05th February 2008


1.0. INTRODUCTION

a)In the continuity of the work already developed in reference to the analysis of the communications (voice phone calls, SMS and MMS), we proceeded, by solicitation of the DIC of Portimo, to the operational analysis of the Inquiry 201/07.0GALGS.

b) For that matter, we were delivered a copy, on digital format, of the 11 volumes (pages 1 to 3004), that constituted the process at that time; discs and maps with the registration of the phone contacts of the arguido Robert Murat, his mother Jennifer Murat, the witnesses Michaela Walazuch, Luis Antonio and Sergey Malinka; registrations and maps of the calls made from public booths in Praia da Luz; copies of the videos made during the cynotechnic searches.

c) With this amount of information (interviews, requests, etc.), we pretended to clarify what had happened on the night of May the 3rd, 2007, in the apartment 5A, of the resort named Praia da Luz Ocean Club, and to find any element that could lead to the identification of the author of the facts.

d) To realize the requested analysis, it was used the informatics tools: Analyst Notebook V.6 and Excel, for the realization of the Graphs (charts) and tables, of which we annex those considered pertinent; and we used the database of this police ' SPO.

e) Throughout our work we were frequently contacted by colleagues that were on the field, in the attempt to verify if a certain mobile phone number had activated any antenna, of the 3 national operators, that serve Praia da Luz on any of the 3 days that we have registers for.


2.0. METHODOLOGY
a) In the first phase, we proceeded to a careful reading of the files taking notes of the elements that could contribute, in any way, to the composition of the chronograms of the facts. From that reading is clear that much of the proof is testimonial.

b) So, at this phase, we compared the declarations of the Ocean Club's employees with the phone registries of the 3 operators, to figure out if there is any incongruence between the depositions made and their presence at the place, when they claimed that they were absent from that locality.

c) Following this line of reasoning it was determined that two witnesses ' Bernardino (page. 372) and Ecaterina (pag 596) ' activated one of the antennas, beyond the time that they stated having left that area.

d) After this phase, Excel tables were created based on the depositions of the different interviewee, the maps with the registry of the entrance and exits of the creches, the R.D.E. and other information. From these maps charts were created (in annex).


e) On these charts we find:
- Timelines of entities
- Boxes of events

f) As the Analyst Notebook executes automatically the correlations that it finds on the tables with the data, it's up to the analyst to read it, and according with the results, to enunciate one or more hypothesis.

g) So, apart from the traces recovered on that occasion and on others, both from the apartment 5A, as from the residence of Robert Murat, and from its analysis, this report is based on the statements of the several interveiwees that are translated on the annexed charts.

h) These are separated by the following types: first declarations; second declarations; third declarations; R.D.E.; Registry pages from the creches; telephone contacts; and others.

i) This categorization was made in order to find any discrepancy on the depositions of the different witnesses and arguidos. That is, we aimed to check if there were significant changes in their statements.

j) The statements were then reproduced on a graphic form, being the personal or group routines represented on daily graphs. For instance, if a witness declared that on the 29th had lunch at home, and that was their routine until the 3rd, that event will appear on the graphs for those days. Those situations can be observed when on the 'event's boxes' the word ROUTINE appears.

k) This procedure was adopted for the graphs based on the first depositions and Rs.D.E. The graphs for the second and second statements this method was not used, because we chose to make graphs for the new elements supplied by the witnesses, avoiding, this way, to repeat everything that had been done for the first depositions.


3.0.
DEVELOPMENT
a) From the declarations of the various interviewees, it was clear that when the GNR arrived at the place, several persons had already handled the window and entered the room of Madeleine and her siblings, which means that the space had been occupied by other individuals. It possibly explains the scarcity of probational elements recovered on the first phase. It's a fact that the only latent fingerprints recovered, with the necessary elements for a positive identification belonged to the mother of the missing child and to a member of the GNR (pag. 885 and 1520).

b) One of the fundamental principles of the investigation is connected with the data recovered on the crime scene since the first moment. If that place had already been visited by third parties, the elements that eventually could be recovered, may lead to the construction of scenarios quite different from what really happened. Most of the times that 'change' is such that it compromises, or at least, limits the recovery of eventual traces that might exist on the crime scene.

c) The lack of the preservation of the space, as the investigation principles demand, was such that on the several vestiges recovered, on the afternoon of the day after the disappearance of the child, by a SCI team of the Scientific Police Laboratory (page. 2307), after laboratory analysis for the identification of DNA, it was revealed the presence of non-human hair (pages. 2432, passim).

d) This team searched for any substance that could have been administered to the missing child in order to keep her under an unconscious state and/or the presence of blood traces.

e) According to the statements, the life of the group followed a daily routine. After having breakfast, at the apartment (in the case of the Mccann) or at the Millennium restaurant, they placed the children at their respective creches. Then the adults went for several sports' activities (tennis, sailing, etc).

f) Around lunch time, they went for the kids at the creche and had lunch with them at the apartments.

g) In the afternoon some of the children (McCann children and the eldest of O'Brien/Tanner) were placed at the creches, while the others were kept with the parents.

h) Some adults returned to their sports' activities while others went for other activities, normal for people on holidays.

i) After feeding the children, which happened close to the Tapas bar/restaurant, under the supervision of the nannies, they took them to put them to bed after making their hygiene.

j) Afterwards, with the children already asleep, the adults went to the restaurant for dinner (annexes 2 to 37, based on the statements; and annexes 57 to 67, based on the Rs.D.E. and creche's registration).

k) Based on the several testimonies, it's demonstrated that we are in the presence of a group of people, in holidays, with children, with a certain routine that is completely changed after the disappearance of Madeleine.

l) The mobile phone contacts, made and received by the elements of the group, registered by the 3 national operators, only corroborate that deduction for the days 2 to 4. It's clear that the mobile phones did not have much use and when they use it it's to call UK (annexes 38, 39).

m) On the day of the disappearance, the group routine was slightly different, not for the McCann family, they had the same ritual of placing the children on the creche to dedicate to the tennis practice in the after lunch.

n) However, the remaining elements of the group, in the afternoon, went to the beach, where they had high tea at the bars in that area (annexes 15, 16, 17, 27, 38 and 35).

o) On this last day, the last time that Madeleine was seen by someone not belonging to the family group or the friends' group, was at 17:30h, when she was returned to the parents by one of the nannies (annex 66, pag 105).

p) According to the narrative made by Kate and Gerald, after putting the children in bed, they got out for dinner, with the children asleep.

q) According to an agreement, accepted tacitly by everyone, the supervision of the children was made in a way where they took turns on that task, so the children would not be unsupervised for periods longer than 15 to 30 minutes.

r) On that fateful night, the first one to go to the apartments was Mathew Oldfield, who made their check based on audition. He listened, and it was not possible to find out if at the windows or at the doors, if any noise was coming from the inside of the apartments.

t) He was followed by Gerald McCann. This one entered into his apartment, at about 21:05 h, and aw his children asleep, he got out and followed towards the Tapas. In the way he met the witness Jeremy Wilkins, with whom he maintained a small conversation.

u) Meanwhile, Jane Tanner, another element of the group, left the table and went to her apartment. On the way she saw Gerald talking to Jeremy ('Jezz') ' Amazingly, none of them saw her. On that occasion, at about 21:15h, Jane saw at the top of the street, a male individual crossing the road, holding a child.

v) Later, around 21:30h, Matthew went back to check the children, and on that occasion he entered through the window/door of the living room, in the apartment of the McCann. He saw the twins sleeping in their cots, but he didn't see Madeleine, due to the position of the bed where she was sleeping.

w) By 22:00h, it was Kate's turn to proceed to the verification of how her children were, and that's why it was her that noticed the absence of her daughter and gave the alert to the other members of the group.

x) There were several interviewee on the initial searches amongst the Ocean's employees, residents and guests.
z) To get the physical context f the place where the facts occurred, a visit was made. This way, it was evident that when sit at a table where the one that was used by the nine, at the Tapas restaurant, it was impossible to see the totality of the back of the apartment where the McCann stayed. It was even possible that a person entered the apartment without being seen from that position.

4.0.
HYPOTHESES
From the analysis emerges one concrete FACT:
MADELEINE McCANN DISAPPEARED FROM THE APARTMENT WHERE SHE WAS LODGED WITH HER FAMILY.

This fact raises 2 preferential hypotheses:
A- Kidnapping performed by unknown(s); and/or
B - Violent/accidental death occurring inside the apartment and posterior removal of the body to an unknown place.

A -
The first hypothesis is based on the following data:

a) It was Kate Healy that found out that her daughter was missing (pag. 61). When Kate arrives at the apartment to check the children, she found out that Madeleine was absent and that her children's bedroom door was completely open, which was not usual, and that the window that gives access to the exterior was also opened, the shutters opened and the curtains opened to the sides.

b) Gerald McCann, the father, at around 21:05h, had seen her on the bed (pag 37, lines 73-76). After the alarm given by his wife, he realized that the window was opened to one of the sides, the shutters almost entirely raised up and the curtains opened to the sides. Madeleine's bed was empty, but the twins were still on their cots sleeping (page 901).

c) Matthew Oldfield, one of the friends that enters the apartment of the McCann before the mother gives the alarm, didn't check inside the room of the children, if Madeleine was there, only seeing the twins (page 54); after Kate gave the alarm he also saw the window of the children's room opened and it's shutter raised. As he referred there was no sign of a breakthrough in the apartment doors (pag 55).

d) Jane Tanner, a friend, that at the moment when Kate give the alarm was at home taking care of her daughter, but declares to have seen, at 21:15h, an individual crossing the street she was going up to, from the left to the right, holding a child (pag 46).

e) It was possible to add the rest of the elements of the group, however in our understanding an analysis report is not a final report, so we are just going to mention the first witness outside the group that became aware of the despair of Kate, while she cried for her daughter and reprimanded herself for having left her alone.

f) Pamela Fenn, resident at the apartment just above the one were the incident occurred (p. 2413).
This witness also referred that on the night of day 1 (NOTE: by the way it is written it means May 1st) she heard a child and not a baby, crying for about 1:30 h, and that this sound came from the apartment below hers. This statement contradicts the version presented by the group that they were checking the children every 15 or 30 minutes.

g) There are no witnesses that have watched whatever happened. Also there are no traces that may lead to the author of the facts denounced by Gerald McCann.

h) Apart from the witness Jane Tanner, there other 3 witnesses, all of the same family ' Martin, Aiofe and Peter Smith, respectively father, daughter and son ' that around 22:00h, have seen an individual carrying a child, in a place opposed to the one where the other witness claims to have seen the other suspect, if we use as reference the McCann apartment.

i) Still on the kidnapping side, Robert Murat, at a certain time of the investigations, became a suspect of the crime.

j) Let's enumerate some facts that led to such a suspicion, and demonstrate some important aspects that must be taken into account by the investigation, that result from data within the files.


5.0.
Reasons that led to the suspicion:
a) According to a British journalist, R. Murat started having suspicious attitudes close to those professionals of the British media. He didn't want to be photographed and didn't give any identification element apart from his nick name ' 'ROB' (pag. 308).

b) His residence was in the direction that, according to Jane, was taken by the unknown that was carrying a child (pag.46).

c) The attitudes taken by him and referred on page 329.

d) Anonymous denounce that suggests that he was an individual that frequently viewed sites of 'heavy sexual contents' (page 461).

e) His behaviour while acting as a translator, showing an unusual interest, that surpassed the functions for which he was nominated, he showed curiosity about the diligences that had been realised and the ones that were to be performed (pag 960, passim).

f) Having been present on the night of the facts, according to the declarations of Rachel Mampilly (pag 1296); Fiona Payne (1323) and Russell (page 1945).

g) From the analysis it results that Murat arrived in Portugal, coming from Britain on May the 1st, his mother went to get him from the airport (annex 68).

h) From the acts ('autos') it is deprehended that a very strong relationship exists between Robert and Michaela, and that they try to be together, whenever it's possible. On the same day of his arrival, immediately after passing by his home, he went to visit her in Lagos, where Michaela resides with her husband and daughter.

i) On the 2nd and 3rd, they declared to have been together. According to the antennas they activated, on those two days, they stayed within the Lagos area.

j) When they are not together they contact by mobile phone, which occurs at the end of the day, compare the annexes 68 and 75; and 70, 71 and 79.

k) On the 3rd, they were together all day, according to their statements that originated the annexes 70 to 72.

l) They met at 9:30h and were around the Lagos area in meetings and at Michaela's house. Around 19:30h, Murat left her place and returned to Praia da Luz. During the period they were together there are no phone contacts between the two.

m) They only establish that sort of contact at 23:20h, having Michaela called Murat after, according to the statements on pag 1184 and 1544, arriving home from the church meeting she frequents.

n) Only the witnesses Rachael Mampilly, Fiona Payne and Russell O'Brien, without we understanding why, state that they saw him on the night of the facts, helping as a translator the members of the GNR. However they are the only ones to stand that. Several witnesses denied that fact. Some of those witnesses are residents at Praia da Luz and know Robert, from sight, for several years (annexes 72 and 73).

o) The mother refers that Murat stayed at home all the time, close to her, after having entered at 19:30h.

p) Nothing of interest resulted from the searches realised to his residence, that allowed to infer that he was involved, in any way, on the disappearance of Madeleine. That is, no traces of the presence of Madeleine were found on the places accessed by Robert.

q) The exams performed by the Medical Forensic Laboratory to the hair found at his residence and vehicles (pag 2426), the DNA recovered was of the haplotype of Robert Murat.

r) From the analysis realised to every communication, since November the 1st, 2006 until July 19th, 2007, of Robert, Michaela, Sergey, Jennifer and Luis Antonio, it's evident that Robert and Malinka only contacted each other 8 times, annex 87.

s) There is no relationship between Sergey and Luis Antonio, and between this last one and Robert, neither between those two and the residence of Robert Murat, between April 30th and May 4th (annexes 82 to 86).

6.0.
The hypothesis of death is based on the following:
a) The witness Silvia Batista, page 1977, refers that at 3:00hrs, May 4th, the couple asked for a priest, which she found strange since there was at that time any indication that the child was dead, and it is 'under those circumstances that usually the presence of a priest is demanded'
(sic).

b) The search dog 'Eddie' (dog that signals the presence of cadaver odour) 'marked' (gave a signal) in the couples bedroom, at the apartment 5A, on an area close to the wardrobe (page 2054, and/or annex 88)

c) That same dog 'marked', in the same apartment, an area close to the window of the living room, which has a direct access to the street, behind the sofa (page. 2054 and/or annex 88)

d) Still in the apartment, the dog 'marked' an area in the garden, at the corner, down the vertical from the veranda (page 2054 and/or annex 88).

e) At the villa 'Vista do Mar', the house rented by the McCann after leaving the Ocean Club, the dog 'marked' the area of the closet that contained in its interior the soft toy belonging to Madeleine (cf. page. 2099 and/or annex 88)

f) From the exam to the clothing performed in a pavilion in Lagos, this same dog 'marked' some pieces of clothes that belonged to Kate Healy (page 2101 and /or annex 88)

g) This dog signalled the exterior and interior parts, of the driver's door, of the Renault 59-DA-27 ' rented by the McCann (page. 2187 and /or annex 88)

h) Finally he 'marked' the key/card of this vehicle when hidden in a sand box (page 2187 and/or annex 88)

i) The search dog, named 'Keela' (a she dog that detects the presence of human blood) 'marked' an area in the living room, in the apartment 5A, that had been 'marked' by the dog 'Eddy' (page. 2054 and/or annex 88)

j) After the mosaics that this dog signalled had been retired, on a first inspection, and mentioned previously, she marked that same area once more (page 2190 and/or annex 88)

k) She 'marked' also the inferior side of the left side curtains, of the window referred above (page 2190 and/or annex 88)

l) She 'marked' the inferior lateral right side, in the inside of the booth of the car 59-DA-27 (page 2187 and/or annex 88)

m) In what concerns the vehicle, Keela 'marked' the little compartment of the driver's door, that contained the key/card of the vehicle (page 2187 and/or annex 88)

n) This dog also 'marked' the key/card when the same was hidden into a sand box.

o) It should be noted the report made by the trainer /owner of these dogs. On this report it's mentioned the methodology of training:

p) 'Eddie, the dog with an advanced training to detect mortal victims (E.V.R.D.), searches and locates human remains and body fluids, including blood, in any environment or terrain. The initial training of the dog was done with human blood and decaying piglets that were born dead. The importance of this training is that the dog learnt to identify the odour of a decaying body that is not food. This guaranties that the dog ignores the 'bacon sandwich' and the 'kebab', etc. that are always present in the environment. Besides that the dog will not alert to a meal prepared at home or on any other place. For instance, the dog will be efficient on searching a cadaver in café where the clients can be seated eating a bacon sandwich. As a complement of this training, the dog receives an additional training in the USA, in association with the FBI, in which will be used exclusively human remains' (sic) (page 2493 and 2494).

q) This summarized description raises a question that we would like to see answered: could the dog be 'marking' not the odours emanated from a cadaver, directly or indirectly (by contagious), but from blood in putrefaction'

r) These dogs are means for obtaining proof but they cannot be used as proof. They must be taken as instruments. Any vestige, even invisible to the eye, recovered with the use of these dogs, has to be subjected to forensic exam on a credited laboratory.

s) It is the same Martin Grime that, at pages 2271, refers on his report: 'Although it cannot constitute proof admissible to court, it can help on the recovery of intelligence for the investigation of serious crimes'.

t) In this case the dogs signalled several places. The technicians of the Scientific Police Laboratory recovered those vestiges ' vestiges that that on it's majority were not visible to the eye ' and sent them to the laboratories for the necessary forensic exams, in order to recover and identify the DNA profiles, that might be extracted from them.

u) From the screening of the videos, referred previously, done when the dogs were working, some doubts arise. We don't want and we can't take the place of the trainer, we only wish to alert, with this paragraph, to some facts, that according to us, need further clarification.

v) If the dog is trained to react when he detects what he is looking for, why, in most of the cases, we see the dog passing more than once by that place in an uninterested way, until he finally signals the place where he had already passed several times'

w) On one of the films, it's possible to see that 'Eddie' sniffs Madeleine's cuddle cat, more than once, bites it, throws it into the air and only after the toy is hidden does he 'mark' it (page 2099). Whys didn't he signal it when he sniffs it on the first time'

x) Apart from all that was said about the dogs, we must also take into attention the results of the forensic analysis that was performed by the experts on the Scientific Police Laboratory on the day immediately after the facts, and already mentioned where no vestige of blood was found.

7.0.
OTHER
a) Besides the analysis of the charts with reference to the group that travelled with Madeleine and the 'group' of Robert Murat, other charts were made.

b) On the annex 89 it's represented the renting of the vehicle 59-DA-27, where it's signalled that the same was rented for the first time by Gerald McCann on May 27th, 2007, and kept until September 23rd, 2007. Which means that the vehicle entered under his possession 24 days after the disappearance of his daughter.

c) On the annex 90, there is a detailed analysis developed based on the hypothesis that the author of the kidnapping acted with the help of another individual, and that both activated on the same minute, only on the 3rd, one of the antennas at Praia da Luz. This means, they both would activate cells in Praia da Luz simultaneously. It was taken as reference the statements of Jane Tanner and Gerald McCann and it was admitted that this contact, short, had occurred between 21:00 and 21:20h.

d) The result of this analysis was communicated, in due time, to the colleagues, inspectors Rodrigues and Santos.


e) It was also to those colleagues that was transmitted the results of the analysis made, based on the same hypothesis (annex 91), but within the period 21:45h and 22:15h. This period has to do with the statement of the Smith family, Martin, Aoife and Peter, that declare to have seen a male individual carrying a child at around 22:00h.

f) The data analysed to make those charts and the Excel table, were the 74 thousand registrations supplied by the 3 operators, with reference to the activation of the antennas that serve Praia da Luz between May 2nd and 4th.

g) Based on the some descriptions made by the witnesses, other charts are represented on the annex 92, but they they do not reveal anything useful for the investigation.

h) More attention was given to the descriptions of the members of the Smith's family and Jane's, since in both there was a common element, the suspect transported a child, and also due to their temporal proximity. The rest of them were scattered in time and the descriptions were based on the fact that the individuals at a certain time had a suspicious attitude or aspect.

i) An analysis was also made to the numbers called from the public phone booths, but no useful element o the investigation was found. This data serve only, just like the 74 thousand registries of the operators, to eliminate eventual suspects.

j) Finally, it may be referred that from the analysis to the communications, in general, nothing relevant could be found.


8.0.
RECOMMENDATIONS
a)
From the analysis no noticeable discrepancies can be found from the depositions made by the interviewees, and also between those statements and other elements to which they were compared, namely, the registries of the creche entrances and exits of the children, registries of the tennis classes and phone calls.

b) However, as referred previously, there is a witness that declares to have heard,
supposedly Madeleine McCann, crying for one and a half hours, without the parents getting into the apartment during that period.

c) This statement raises serious doubts about for how long the children were without supervision.

d) In the case of Murat, there are also no discrepancies on his statements.

e) From the mentioned above, we understand that the following recommendations must be made:
- On the hypothesis that there was death of the child, the results performed by the British Laboratory must be awaited, in order to assert what kind of vestiges were collected and if any of those can lead to the identification of Madeleine McCann's DNA profile.
- To obtain, from the trainers and supervisors of the dogs (ERVD and CSI), further enlightening about the 'marking' and the friability of their work.
- Under the hypothesis of abduction, because there are no vestiges to lead to the author, we propose the waiting for a denounce or testimony that permits to obtain new elements of proof in order to achieve an identification.